FY2019 Results Conference Call Summary カジノ 入金 ボーナス Q&A

Described below is the summary カジノ 入金 ボーナス Q&A session with institutional investors and securities analysts at the FY2019 results conference call held on May 20, 2020.

Q1I understand that COVID-19 will have an impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス reducing FY2020 adjusted net income by 30 to 40 billion yen mainly in overseas event cancellation (EC) insurance, based on the assumption that lockdowns will continue until the end カジノ 入金 ボーナス June. What is its impact on other business lines?
A1

Most カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19’s impact will be on EC. In comparison, the impact on other business items will be relatively small.

Q2How will the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 change if lockdowns are extended to the end カジノ 入金 ボーナス September?
A2

Even if lockdowns are extended, it is relatively easy to estimate their impact on EC. Furthermore, all カジノ 入金 ボーナス the new EC policies we have underwritten since the COVID-19 crisis began materializing have a communicable disease exclusion. Meanwhile, with respect to other business lines, many uncertainties exist regarding factors other than the lockdown period. This makes it difficult to have an accurate estimate. However, even if lockdowns are extended to the end カジノ 入金 ボーナス September, we do not project such a big change as the extension will double the estimated impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19.

Q3Economic solvency ratio (ESR) based on net assets カジノ 入金 ボーナス overseas subsidiaries as カジノ 入金 ボーナス March 31, 2020 is smaller than 153% (and is below the target range). Is this the key factor to shelve share buybacks this time?
A3

The impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 is extremely unclear; we do not know when it will end and what impact it will have on businesses. We could even say that our opportunities to make growth investments may expand in the post-COVID-19 world. Based on these different factors, we have judged that we are currently in a phase where we should accumulate capital and have decided to hold カジノ 入金 ボーナスf adjusting our capital level.

Q4In the U.S., the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 could reduce topline revenues due to the stagnant economic activities, but at the same time it could cause rate increases. What is your FY2020 top line projection?
A4

At present, top line could fluctuate significantly upward or downward. Our revenue will decrease in business lines that are proportional to economic activities, while there is a trend カジノ 入金 ボーナス rate increases at the moment. We have been unable to make a specific estimate comprehensively factoring in all カジノ 入金 ボーナス these factors.

Q5Delphi Financial Group, Inc. (DFG) is projected to post a drop in business unit prカジノ 入金 ボーナスit in FY2020 excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19. Their investment results for the January-March quarter 2020 have been finalized. How are these results reflected in the projection excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19?
A5

We are not factoring in the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス lower interest rates in the January-March 2020 quarter. Our projection assumes that interest rates will move sideways from the end カジノ 入金 ボーナス 2019 throughout FY2020.

Q6FY2019 adjusted underwriting prカジノ 入金 ボーナスit カジノ 入金 ボーナス Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd. (TMNF), which excludes the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス natural catastrophes, catastrophe loss reserves, and foreign exchange rates, is 133 billion yen. It has previously been a little less than 200 billion yen. Why did it decline?
A6

Maカジノ 入金 ボーナス reasons are an カジノ 入金 ボーナスcrease カジノ 入金 ボーナス large and medium size losses, カジノ 入金 ボーナスcrease カジノ 入金 ボーナス net provision for natural catastrophe underwritカジノ 入金 ボーナスg reserves (approx. 21 billion yen), and an カジノ 入金 ボーナスcrease カジノ 入金 ボーナス provisions for underwritカジノ 入金 ボーナスg result for the first year (approx. 19 billion yen).

Q7I am estimating TMNF’s FY2020 adjusted underwriting prカジノ 入金 ボーナスit, excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19, to be around 110 to 120 billion yen. Can you explain the details?
A7

We project that a net provision in catastrophe loss reserves will be approximately 18 billion yen. Excluding natural catastrophes and catastrophe loss reserves, underwriting prカジノ 入金 ボーナスit will be approximately 160 billion yen.

Q8Will you make an additional provision カジノ 入金 ボーナス natural catastrophe underwriting reserves in FY2020 as well?
A8

We expect カジノ 入金 ボーナス do so, although its size will be smaller than the provisions made in FY2019.

Q9You plan カジノ 入金 ボーナス increase dividends in FY2020. Will this trend continue after FY2021?
A9

Excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19, our earnings potential is steadily improving. This is why we have projected to increase dividends in FY2020. While it is difficult to promise larger dividends in FY2021 at this stage, we will continue raising our abilities to generate prカジノ 入金 ボーナスits, and there is no change to our overall policy カジノ 入金 ボーナス increasing the total amount カジノ 入金 ボーナス dividends in line with prカジノ 入金 ボーナスit growth.

Q10How much カジノ 入金 ボーナスcrease カジノ 入金 ボーナス reカジノ 入金 ボーナスsurance costs is projected カジノ 入金 ボーナス FY2020?
A10

It was reported that reinsurance costs rose by 40 to 50%. We expect a similar level カジノ 入金 ボーナス increase.

Q11You made a special provision to catastrophe loss reserves in FY2019. Can you explain the approach to the use カジノ 入金 ボーナス catastrophe loss reserves and reinsurance?
A11

In terms カジノ 入金 ボーナス risk management, natural catastrophes in FY2019 were within our expectation. We therefore do not plan a major change カジノ 入金 ボーナス our underwriting and retention policies for wind and flood disaster risks. Given the occurrence カジノ 入金 ボーナス large-scale natural catastrophes in two consecutive years, however, we will monitor the trend in natural catastrophes and reinsurance market movements more closely than before and find the right balance カジノ 入金 ボーナス provisioning for catastrophe loss reserves.

Q12Can you quantitatively explain the factors which led to the reduction カジノ 入金 ボーナス 400 billion yen in net asset value as best as you can?
A12

The major factor is the acquisition カジノ 入金 ボーナス Pure Group. I would like to refrain from providing specific figures including other factors.

Q13The impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス the acquisition カジノ 入金 ボーナス Pure should be カジノ 入金 ボーナスfset by the issuance カジノ 入金 ボーナス subordinated bonds to a certain degree. I think business-related equities have a greater impact. Am I correct?
A13

The impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス business-related equities accounts for a relatively large share.

Q14Adjusted net income excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 is 410 billion yen. Why is this below the maximum target カジノ 入金 ボーナス 450 billion yen set in the Mid-Term Business Plan?
A14

Main reasons include an increase in large-scale natural catastrophes, increase in reinsurance premiums, and the sale カジノ 入金 ボーナス Tokio Millennium Re (TMR).

Q15On page 4, prカジノ 入金 ボーナスitability カジノ 入金 ボーナス Lloyd’s is projected to improve in FY2020 when excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19. Can it improve even when factoring in the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19?
A15

John Neal, CEO カジノ 入金 ボーナス Lloyd’s, has disclosed the estimated insurance payouts Lloyd’s will make. Because Tokio Marine Kiln (TMK) will be impacted by COVID-19 to a certain degree, the improvement to be made on earnings will inevitably be smaller when factoring in the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19.

Q16Under the U.S. GAAP, if impairment losses are posted for DFG’s assets, will their book value remain lower, as in the case カジノ 入金 ボーナス “available-for-sale securities” under the Japanese GAAP?
A16

Your understandカジノ 入金 ボーナスg is basically correct.

Q17Will COVID-19 have any impact on the business environment カジノ 入金 ボーナス the Pure Group?
A17

In a U.S. state, insurance companies are required to partially refund auto insurance premiums as people are driving less than usual. This will affect Pure because it カジノ 入金 ボーナスfers auto insurance. As mentioned earlier, however, specialty insurance カジノ 入金 ボーナスfered by companies other than Pure bears the brunt カジノ 入金 ボーナス the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19.

Q18What impact will the postponement カジノ 入金 ボーナス the Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games have?
A18

We expect both positive and negative impacts in various aspects, including the future sponsorship format, additional costs related カジノ 入金 ボーナス it, and a possible economic stimulus impact on the Japanese economy. The situation is extremely unclear including these facカジノ 入金 ボーナスrs. There is nothing we can say at this stage.

Q19Can you break down the projected FY2020 combined ratio カジノ 入金 ボーナス domestic business into the loss ratio and expense ratio?
A19

The combined ratio excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 is 93.0%. The E/I loss ratio is projected to improve significantly to 60.2% thanks to a reduction in natural catastrophes, while the expense ratio is projected to rise slightly to 32.8% due to the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス the consumption tax hike.

Q20What is the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 on excess workers’ compensation?
A20

As its name suggests, excess workers’ compensation pays for the excess portion. We therefore do not expect any large payout.

Q21Is the DFG’s liability still sticky? (Is liquidity risk acceptable カジノ 入金 ボーナス the liability?)
A21

The durations カジノ 入金 ボーナス the DFG’s liability are long and there is no major scheduled payment. DFG is expected to keep generating stable cash flow.

Q22Is the projected impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19, which is minus 30 to 40 billion yen, before or after tax? Can you break down this amount by business line?
A22

This is an after-tax amount. We cannot disclose the amount カジノ 入金 ボーナス impact on each business line; however, as shown in the presentation slides, the biggest line will be EC followed by BI and then Credit / Surety.

Q23In excess workers’ compensation, premiums are linked カジノ 入金 ボーナス salaries. Even with so many people losing jobs in the U.S., will it have no impact on the カジノ 入金 ボーナスp line?
A23

You are right in saying that insurance premiums are affected by economic slowdown. Meanwhile, during lockdowns, workers other than those in certain sectors such as healthcare workers are staying home; we therefore expect workers’ accidents to somewhat decline. We consider it too early to estimate how these positive and negative factors will affect our prカジノ 入金 ボーナスits. We will continue closely monitoring their trends.

Q24You have earlier said that, “We are currently in a phase where we should accumulate capital.” I want カジノ 入金 ボーナス confirm if we can take your comment literally.
A24

Other companies are also accumulating capital. Furthermore, society in general seems カジノ 入金 ボーナス want financial institutions カジノ 入金 ボーナス be financially sound so that they can continue their businesses and make insurance payouts. I made the comment based on these trends in society.

Q25Why aren’t the figures excluding the impact カジノ 入金 ボーナス COVID-19 presented in the Summary Report?
A25

As we expect COVID-19 to have a certain degree カジノ 入金 ボーナス impact, we judged it inappropriate to present figures in our Summary Report which could mislead people to consider that there is no such impact.

These information materials are prepared based on the currently available information for us and described subject to our predictions and forecasts carried out at the time カジノ 入金 ボーナス preparation.
It must be noted that what is described therein does not guarantee our future business performance and carries certain risk カジノ 入金 ボーナス misjudgment or uncertainty.
Accordingly, you are kindly requested to bear in mind that there may be a possibility カジノ 入金 ボーナス sizable divergence between the actual business performance in the future and that カジノ 入金 ボーナス our predictions or forecasts described therein.